Market Update





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September 2017

The Broad Index (also known as the trade-weighted US dollar index, is a measure of the value of the United States dollar relative to other world currencies), fell year on year, (y/y) for the second month in a row. The last time the broad index declined on a y/y basis was July 2014.

The total number of operating rigs in the US the week ending September 5th was 943, 759 oil and 183 gas. In percentage terms, week on week, oil rigs declined by 0.5%, while gas rigs were down 1.1%. On a month on month basis, oil rigs were off 0.9% and gas rigs were declined by 6.3%.

August 2017

Existing home inventory in July fell 20,000 units or 1.0% month on month, (m/m) to 1.920 million, (M). On a year on year, (y/y) comparison inventory of existing homes fell 9.0%. Month’s supply was 4.2, down from 4.7 months in July 2016.

The national ABI score for July was 51.9, down 2.3 month on month, (> 50 indicates an increase in billings). The ABI has now been greater than 50 for six months in a row and for nine of the last 12 months.

The pace of U.S. economic growth slowed slightly in July, falling back to -0.01 from 0.16 in June. Three of the four sub-categories that make up the index declined from the prior month, and three made a negative contribution to the overall index.

Total housing starts were reported at a seasonally adjusted (SA), annual rate of 1,155,000 for the month of July, down 4.8% month on month, (m/m). On a three month moving average (3MMA), basis SA total starts came-in at 1,166,000, a negative 1.2% year on year (y/y), growth rate.